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November 5, by all accounts, is set to be America’s first “crypto election”. Hundreds of millions of real dollars have poured into pro-crypto political action committees. Kamala Harris has talked about encouraging “innovative technologies”. Donald Trump, her rival for the presidency, has decided that bitcoin isn’t “a scam” after all, embarked on a series of crypto ventures and promises to make America “the crypto capital of the planet”.
據各方說法,11月5日將成爲美國的首次「加密選舉」。數億美元的真金白銀已經流入支援加密貨幣的政治行動委員會。卡瑪拉•哈里斯(Kamala Harris)談到了鼓勵「創新技術」。她的總統競選對手唐納•川普(Donald Trump)決定比特幣並非「騙局」,並開始了一系列加密貨幣項目,承諾將美國打造成「全球加密資本」。
“The crypto voter is real, bipartisan and ready to engage this cycle,” the executive director of lobby group Stand With Crypto, founded and funded by America’s biggest crypto exchange Coinbase, enthused last week. (The group gives politicians grades for their crypto stance, and Trump — unusually — gets an A.)
上週,由美國最大的加密貨幣交易所Coinbase創立和資助的遊說團體Stand With Crypto的執行董事熱情地表示:「加密貨幣選民是真實存在的,具有兩黨性質,並且準備在這個週期中參與。」(該團體爲政治家們的加密貨幣立場評分,而川普——不同尋常地——得到了A級評分。)
But reader, I must level with you right off the BAT (a digital token): the crypto voter is not, in any substantive sense, real. Aside from the small group of men (OK, mainly men) whose livelihoods now depend on this digitally indigenous fluff, most Americans have rather bigger things to worry about — food prices, healthcare, the jobs market, or the general state of their nation, maybe.
但是,讀者,我必須一開始就坦率地告訴你:從任何實質意義上來說,加密貨幣選民並不是真實存在的。除了那小部分現在生計依賴於這種數字原生絨毛的男性之外,大多數美國人有更重要的事情要擔心——食品價格、醫療保健、就業市場,或者他們國家的總體狀況。
The idea, therefore, that there is a “constituency” of crypto voters needing to be pandered to, whose top issue is making sure that exchanges and other companies aren’t too heavily regulated, is fanciful. And yet that is the narrative being pushed by the industry, along with some creatively interpreted statistics.
因此,認爲存在一個需要迎合的加密貨幣選民「選區」,他們最關心的問題是確保交易所和其他公司不受過重監管,這種想法是天方夜譚。然而,這正是該行業所推動的敘述,還有一些經過創造性解釋的統計數據。
“Crypto is a national priority . . . 52mn Americans own crypto and want their voices to be heard in the upcoming elections,” claims Stand With Crypto (the 52mn is certainly contested). “Nearly nine in ten Americans believe the financial system is overdue for an update. Yet, US policymakers seem content on maintaining the status quo, rather than fulfilling their responsibilities.”
「加密貨幣是國家的優先事項……5200萬美國人擁有加密貨幣,並希望在即將到來的選舉中發出自己的聲音,」Stand With Crypto聲稱(5200萬的數字當然有爭議)。「近九成美國人認爲金融體系早該更新。然而,美國政策制定者似乎滿足於維持現狀,而不是履行他們的責任。」
This, presumably, means making sure people like multibillionaire Coinbase CEO Brian Armstrong can continue to get richer. Because if it’s really the crypto owners being considered here, they are doing just fine, thanks (or the ones lucky enough to choose an exchange that didn’t steal it all, anyway).
這大概意味著要確保像億萬富翁Coinbase首席執行長布萊恩•阿姆斯特朗(Brian Armstrong)這樣的人能夠繼續變得更富有。因爲如果真的是在考慮加密貨幣持有者,他們過得很好,謝謝(或者那些幸運地選擇了一個沒有偷走所有資產的交易所的人)。
Despite the Biden-Harris administration being “very hostile” to crypto, according to Trump — “extremely hostile, like nobody can believe” — bitcoin has more than quadrupled in price since the 2020 election, reaching a record high earlier this year. The estimated value of the entire crypto market has almost sextupled. If it’s US jobs we’re talking about, industry figures show almost a third of the world’s crypto workforce is based in the US.
儘管川普表示拜登-哈里斯政府對加密貨幣「非常敵對」,就像沒有人能相信的那樣,但自2020年選舉以來,比特幣的價格已經成長了四倍以上,今年早些時候達到了創紀錄的高點。整個加密貨幣市場的估值幾乎成長了六倍。如果我們談論的是美國的就業崗位,行業數據顯示全球近三分之一的加密貨幣從業人員都在美國。
Crypto is also responsible for almost half of all corporate spending on the election so far, with the pro-crypto Fairshake super Pac having raised more than $200mn alone.
到目前爲止,加密貨幣幾乎佔了所有企業選舉支出的一半,支援加密貨幣的Fairshake超級PAC單獨籌集了超過2億美元。
But while the fact that there is a huge amount of both crypto money and crypto rhetoric in this campaign is in no doubt, does either candidate really care? Let’s look at Harris’s own words. Until recently, there were none. But last Sunday at a Wall Street fundraiser, she finally said: “We will encourage innovative technologies like AI and digital assets, while protecting our consumers and investors.”
然而,雖然毫無疑問這場競選中存在大量的加密貨幣和加密貨幣言辭,但兩位候選人真的在意嗎?讓我們來看看哈里斯自己的話。直到最近,她沒有發表任何言論。但上週日在一次華爾街籌款活動上,她終於說道:「我們將鼓勵人工智慧和數位資產等創新技術,同時保護我們的消費者和投資者。」
For all those getting excited about her sudden conversion — Stand With Crypto even graded her a B, for being “somewhat pro-crypto”, before downgrading after a backlash — let me make clear my own thoughts: Harris couldn’t give a flying Satoshi. She has promised nothing at all. Her comments were designed not to alienate the tech world by coming across as heavy-handed while keeping those who favour stronger regulation on side.
對於那些對她突然轉變感到興奮的人——Stand With Crypto甚至給她打了個B的分數,稱她「有點親加密貨幣」,然後在遭到強烈反對後降低了評分——讓我明確表達我的想法:哈里斯對中本聰毫不在乎。她沒有做出任何承諾。她的評論旨在避免以高壓手段讓科技界感到疏遠,同時保持那些支援更嚴格監管的人的立場。
Trump has sold four collections of NFTs, and generously offers Americans the “chance to contribute to the campaign with cryptocurrency”. But if you think his interest goes beyond his own prospects, you too should brace for disappointment. He might be lauded by Coinbase’s chief policy officer for his “concrete and visionary positions” but he doesn’t seem to take the whole thing very seriously. “Have a good time with your bitcoin and your crypto, and everything else that you’re playing with,” he told July’s bitcoin 2024 conference.
川普已經出售了四個NFT系列,並慷慨地向美國人提供「用加密貨幣爲競選活動做出貢獻的機會」。但如果你認爲他的興趣超出了自己的前景,你也應該做好失望的準備。Coinbase的首席政策官可能會稱讚他的「具體而有遠見的立場」,但他似乎並沒有非常認真對待整個事情。他在7月的比特幣2024年會議上說:「祝你在比特幣和加密貨幣以及其他你玩弄的東西上玩得開心。」
Neither does Trump display much understanding — which, to be fair, he at least owns up to. At the launch of his and his sons’ latest foray into crypto, World Liberty Financial, he compared it to learning Chinese. What the company will do remains unclear.
川普並沒有展示出太多的理解力,這一點他至少承認了。在他和他兒子最新涉足的加密領域項目全球自由金融(World Liberty Financial)的發佈會上,他將其比作學習中文。該公司將要做什麼仍然不清楚。
Still, at least the venture’s “DeFi visionary” seems to get it. “Barron knows so much about this,” the former president said of his 18-year-old son. “He talks about his wallet. He’s got four wallets or something, but he knows this stuff.” Remember remember the fifth of November. Cluelessness, claptrap and grift.
然而,至少這個風險投資的「DeFi先知」似乎明白這一點。「巴倫對此瞭解很多,」這位前總統說道,提到他18歲的兒子。「他談論他的錢包。他有四個錢包之類的,但他確實懂這些東西。」記住,記住11月5日。無知、廢話和欺詐。