Narendra Modi is becoming an expert in policy U-turns - FT中文網
登錄×
電子郵件/用戶名
密碼
記住我
請輸入郵箱和密碼進行綁定操作:
請輸入手機號碼,透過簡訊驗證(目前僅支援中國大陸地區的手機號):
請您閱讀我們的用戶註冊協議私隱權保護政策,點擊下方按鈕即視爲您接受。
印度政治與政策

Narendra Modi is becoming an expert in policy U-turns

India』s leader promises grand reform — but without a majority his premiership is a diminished one
00:00

{"text":[[{"start":9.48,"text":"Narendra Modi invoked “reform” more than two dozen times in his independence day speech at Delhi’s Red Fort earlier this month. "},{"start":16.209,"text":"But for all the pledges, the Modi Indians heard was not the reformer they once knew. "}],[{"start":21.58,"text":"The Indian leader typically deploys the address to outline his grand visions for the world’s most populous country. "},{"start":27.634,"text":"Last year he vowed to make India a developed economy by 2047. "},{"start":31.839,"text":"This year’s speech, with ample references to Viksit Bharat (“Developed India”) was a record 98 minutes long. "}],[{"start":39.47,"text":"But Modi’s Bharatiya Janata party lost its majority in June for the first time in a decade and is now having to consult allies, and sometimes retreat, on legislation. "},{"start":48.812,"text":"Recently it has made U-turns on bills that in the past it would have confidently pushed through parliament. "}],[{"start":54.269999999999996,"text":"So while he declares a commitment to “major reforms”, analysts say, Modi will have to work harder than before to prevail against a reinvigorated opposition led by Rahul Gandhi. "},{"start":63.961999999999996,"text":"His premiership, in its third term, is a diminished one. "}],[{"start":68.63,"text":"More ominously perhaps for the powerful and popular prime minister, some leaders of the Rashtriya Swayamsevak Sangh, the Hindu nationalist mass movement behind the BJP, made remarks that Indians interpreted as expressing impatience with Modi since the general election result was announced on June 4. "}],[{"start":85.41,"text":"“He had very big plans and the loss of 60 seats in parliament has put a lot of that on hold,” says Pramit Pal Chaudhuri, Eurasia Group’s south Asia practice head. "},{"start":94.42699999999999,"text":"“He has to contend with partners, with the RSS, and just generally an opposition that is more energised. ”"}],[{"start":101.19,"text":"Modi’s leftwing critics are delighted to see a leader they describe as an authoritarian strongman weakened. "}],[{"start":107.13,"text":"Business leaders and analysts, meanwhile, are puzzling over what the changed electoral arithmetic will mean for a pro-big business leader who had an ambitious third-term agenda for the world’s fifth-biggest economy. "}],[{"start":118.64999999999999,"text":"In the run-up to the election, Modi instructed his ministries to come up with 100-day action plans to push through the BJP’s legislative and administrative programme in its first three months. "},{"start":128.60399999999998,"text":"These included proposals to create “super-ministries” for areas such as technology, with the aim of streamlining the government’s work. "}],[{"start":136.39,"text":"Officials no longer speak about a 100-day agenda. "},{"start":139.832,"text":"And following the BJP’s shock loss of its majority, he was compelled to dole out some government posts to junior coalition partners, making the plan for mega-ministries unworkable. "}],[{"start":149.72,"text":"The Modi government recently sent back for further revision a broadcasting bill that would have brought YouTubers and other content creators under tighter regulatory control, following a backlash from civil society groups and questions from business. "}],[{"start":161.99,"text":"After an outcry from middle-class Indians, his government also scrapped plans for an overhaul of the long-term capital gains tax outlined in last month’s budget. "},{"start":170.532,"text":"A scheme to allow “lateral” entry to the civil service for non-bureaucrats was sunk by the Gandhi-led opposition, who questioned why it did not include “reservations” for lower-caste Indians. "},{"start":179.949,"text":"The plan was even criticised by some Modi allies. "}],[{"start":184.03,"text":"Both measures arguably would have been good for India’s finances and the quality of its governance, with lateral entry allowing more private sector technocrats to become involved in public administration. "}],[{"start":194.72,"text":"The business community has been hoping for forward movement on policies such as privatisation, land and labour market reform, and an overhaul of production-linked incentives — the multibillion-dollar subsidies India uses to lure investors in industries such as mobile phones and microchips. "}],[{"start":210.18,"text":"Analysts say that the Modi government’s forward momentum will depend in large part on the outcome of upcoming state elections — the biggest being in Maharashtra, one of India’s wealthiest and biggest states, expected in November. "}],[{"start":222.5,"text":"Even sooner, an upcoming by-election for 12 seats in the Rajya Sabha or upper house, scheduled for September 3, could provide either a small lift or loss to the BJP in the 245-seat upper house. "}],[{"start":235.11,"text":"Seasoned political observers point out that a weaker Modi governing in a coalition is no great matter. "},{"start":240.43900000000002,"text":"It simply makes him a more typical Indian leader. "}],[{"start":243.59,"text":"P.V. Narasimha Rao, the Indian National Congress party prime minister elected in 1991, credited with India’s “big bang” economic reforms, presided over a minority government. "},{"start":254.119,"text":"Even Modi, when the BJP enjoyed a majority, was unable to have his way on ambitious reforms to the crucial farming sector. "}],[{"start":261.65,"text":"“As far as economic policy is concerned, it doesn’t matter which government is in power,” says Shumita Deveshwar, chief India economist with GlobalData.TSLombard. "},{"start":271.56699999999995,"text":"“India with its very vibrant democracy and the multiple stakeholders involved means that the pace of reforms will always be very incremental. ”"}],[{"start":278.46,"text":""}]],"url":"https://creatives.ftacademy.cn/album/168905-1724651255.mp3"}

版權聲明:本文版權歸FT中文網所有,未經允許任何單位或個人不得轉載,複製或以任何其他方式使用本文全部或部分,侵權必究。

川普任命鮑爾批評人士擔任最高經濟職務

川普任命經濟學家斯蒂芬•米蘭擔任經濟顧問委員會主席,並任命億萬富翁投資者斯蒂芬•費恩伯格擔任國防部副部長。

會計師事務所對美國資格考覈改革提出擔憂

代表「四大」的機構CAQ批評稱,改革美國會計師資格規則的計劃可能會使公司面臨歧視訴訟,並增加入行障礙。

川普和海湖莊園的力量

這位前房地產開發商非常瞭解如何將建築和空間有效地用作宣傳。

爲2024年的世界感到高興的十個理由

從巴黎聖母院的修復到《抑制熱情》的大結局,這一年其實並不算太糟。

2025年德國大選:主要的競選承諾是什麼?

各大政黨提出了截然不同的計劃,以重振歐洲最大經濟體的命運。

「市場恐慌」:巴西財政赤字導致貨幣跌至新低

總統在面臨其第三個任期內的最大挑戰。
設置字型大小×
最小
較小
默認
較大
最大
分享×