Beware the march of the childless voter - FT中文網
登錄×
電子郵件/用戶名
密碼
記住我
請輸入郵箱和密碼進行綁定操作:
請輸入手機號碼,透過簡訊驗證(目前僅支援中國大陸地區的手機號):
請您閱讀我們的用戶註冊協議私隱權保護政策,點擊下方按鈕即視爲您接受。
FT商學院

Beware the march of the childless voter

JD Vance』s attack on people without kids flies in the face of demographic reality
00:00

{"text":[[{"start":8.379999999999999,"text":"I feel being a mum means you have a very real stake in the future of our country. "},{"start":12.684000000000001,"text":"I have children who are going to have children who will directly be a part of what happens next, so it really keeps you focused. "}],[{"start":19.38,"text":"Those 43 words were uttered in 2016 by the UK’s then energy minister, Andrea Leadsom, as she tried to persuade Conservative party voters to make her their next leader instead of the childless Theresa May. "}],[{"start":31.32,"text":"Her comments sparked a wave of outrage after they appeared in The Times newspaper one Saturday. "},{"start":36.437,"text":"By Monday Leadsom had pulled out of the race. "}],[{"start":39.8,"text":"I keep remembering this every time I read about JD Vance’s rant against vice-president Kamala Harris and other “childless cat ladies” at the top of the Democratic party. "}],[{"start":49.19,"text":"“How does it make any sense that we’ve turned our country over to people who don’t really have a direct stake in it? ”"},{"start":54.207,"text":"asked Vance in a 2021 interview that resurfaced after he became Donald Trump’s running mate. "}],[{"start":59.76,"text":"His comments have prompted an even bigger surge of fury and happily for the Democrats, Vance cannot vanish as easily as Leadsom did because, apart from anything else, it would make Trump look foolish for picking him. "}],[{"start":71.57,"text":"I say “happily” because Vance’s comments are not just astronomically offensive and politically witless, they also betray a serious misunderstanding of where the world is heading in the first half of the 21st century. "}],[{"start":82.74,"text":"It’s well known that birth rates have plummeted in the US and other rich economies across the world. "},{"start":87.81899999999999,"text":"But a number of researchers say one of the chief drivers of this trend is that women are not merely having fewer children, they are increasingly having none at all. "}],[{"start":96.31,"text":"Some experts think childlessness has fuelled most of the drop in fertility in the US over the last couple of decades. "},{"start":102.602,"text":"The share of American women aged between 35 and 44 who have never had a kid rose from 16 per cent in 2012 to 20 per cent in 2022, one recent bit of analysis shows. "}],[{"start":113.98,"text":"Women are only part of the story. "}],[{"start":116.87,"text":"The share of childless Americans under 50, male and female, who say they are unlikely to ever have kids rose to 47 per cent in 2023, a 10 percentage point jump from 2018, a recent Pew study shows. "}],[{"start":130.32,"text":"The reason? "},{"start":131.587,"text":"Most say they simply don’t want to. "}],[{"start":134.23999999999998,"text":"The trend is similar elsewhere. "},{"start":136.469,"text":"Around a third of childless older millennials in the UK say they definitely won’t have a child, while another 20 per cent say they probably won’t. "}],[{"start":144.54,"text":"All this has interesting implications for the working world where those of us in the cat lady category have long been wildly outnumbered. "}],[{"start":151.94,"text":"Consider the always fraught matter of deciding who gets to take holidays when in a team. "},{"start":156.519,"text":"Speaking from personal experience, if you are the only childless employee in a team, it takes a certain level of temerity to insist on taking leave in school holidays if it means a parent of school-aged kids has to keep coming into the office. "},{"start":168.599,"text":"I imagine resistance will be easier once the ranks of the childless grow. "}],[{"start":173.51999999999998,"text":"In some jobs of course, being able to take vacation outside school break times is a perk. "},{"start":178.89899999999997,"text":"Flights and hotels can be cheaper. "},{"start":181.07899999999998,"text":"Roads and beaches are emptier. "}],[{"start":183.46999999999997,"text":"Sadly this does not work so well if you need to be on deck for important events or projects that are often arranged to avoid peak family holiday periods. "},{"start":191.53699999999998,"text":"The rise of childfree workers may well change that scheduling, and also the amount of work assigned. "}],[{"start":197.77999999999997,"text":"About a third of the childless Americans surveyed by Pew said they had been expected to take on extra work or responsibilities. "},{"start":204.34699999999998,"text":"A similar proportion said they were given less flexibility than parents. "}],[{"start":208.68999999999997,"text":"Again, you can imagine this sort of thing changing as the workplace fills with more non-parents. "}],[{"start":214.73999999999998,"text":"Still, it’s swings and roundabouts. "},{"start":217.49399999999997,"text":"Just over a third of those surveyed agreed that not having kids made it easier for them to network outside office hours. "},{"start":223.48699999999997,"text":"And 17 per cent said they had been given more opportunities for important assignments. "}],[{"start":228.90999999999997,"text":"Ultimately, what matters is a demographic shift is under way. "},{"start":232.77699999999996,"text":"The number of non-reproducers is already large and it’s rising, and unfortunately for JD Vance, these people may not have kids but they do have votes. "}],[{"start":240.63999999999996,"text":""}]],"url":"https://creatives.ftacademy.cn/album/166161-1722764573.mp3"}

版權聲明:本文版權歸FT中文網所有,未經允許任何單位或個人不得轉載,複製或以任何其他方式使用本文全部或部分,侵權必究。

阿根廷經濟部長對該國違約風險不以爲意

儘管明年將有140億美元的債務到期,但卡普託堅稱米萊政府有能力支付這筆債務,並預計該國將實現財政盈餘。

阿根廷人隱藏的數十億未申報儲蓄

幾十年來,人們對該國貨幣的不信任導致了「牀墊下的美元」文化。
6小時前

FT社評:摩爾多瓦和喬治亞應有權利選擇自己的道路

西方的根本利益在於保護摩爾多瓦和喬治亞免受俄羅斯威脅、決定自己命運的權利。

事實證明,全球經濟具有驚人的韌性

但巨大的下行風險將繼續對決策者構成挑戰。

莫斯科如何撬動摩爾多瓦的南部

上週日,在關於摩爾多瓦加入歐盟願望的歷史性公投中,該國加告茲突厥語區僅有5%的選民支援加入歐盟。

卡瑪拉•哈里斯會選誰負責經濟?

如果哈里斯贏得美國總統大選,預計她將組建一個能吸引商界人士的團隊。
設置字型大小×
最小
較小
默認
較大
最大
分享×